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Forecasting international student mobility

The forecasting international student mobility project was launched by the British Council in partnership with the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) in May 2008. It aims to develop predictions on international student demand for education. The predictions will be:

country specific
short- to mid-term.

This project revisits Vision 2020 (a British Council report from 2004 forecasting the global demand for international student places in English speaking destination countries) and builds on its strengths.

The executive summary of the project is available:

Download PDF Document Forecasting international student mobility - Executive summary (245KB)

The model was piloted in China and the full report is available:

Download PDF Document Forecasting international student mobility - China report (577KB) [Password required]

We have been working with the EIU to apply the model to both India and Nigeria, with fascinating results. The executive summaries of both the India and Nigeria reports are available:

Download PDF Document Forecasting international student mobility - India executive summary (160KB) [Password required]
Download PDF Document Forecasting international student mobility - Nigeria executive summary (160KB) [Password required]

The full reports will be made available alongside access to the forecasting model, presented in a bespoke on-line application, by the end of summer 2009.

A comparative analysis of the original China study and subsequent India and Nigeria forecasts, with a look at the macroeconomic data and their impact on international student mobility, is also available:

Download PDF Document Forecasting growth - three key emerging economies: China, India and Nigeria (56KB) [Password required]

Work on applying the methodology to the USA and Malaysia has already started and the results will be published soon.


If you have any queries about this project, please contact the Education Market Intelligence team.

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